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Joined 8 months ago
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Cake day: February 18th, 2026

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  • This of course assumes the bubble doesn’t pop, and is presumably driven by memory purchase contracts with AI companies consuming all supply at peak pricing with 5-year terms. If OpenAI or Anthropic run out of investor money tomorrow, those contracts will be worthless and supply will recover (even if HBM capacity can’t be instantly reconfigured to consumer).

    While I don’t expect it tomorrow, OpenAI has signaled a future of constant price increases with their new $500 monthly tier replacing their $200 tier, and it’s likely we’re in the start of the death spiral as subsidized supply ends, demand plummets in response, and unprofitable companies start folding. But the AI market market has remained irrational for much longer than it should have.

    (Just a reminder to roll back your overclocks while we huddle for warmth during tech winter.)


  • This should be table stakes for any party actively trying to oppose fascism.

    But since we’re hearing about it now and it’s Schumer, let me predict:

    • By January when democrats maybe have a senate majority, it’ll be, “We’ll need to look at every nominee case-by-case.”
    • By the time Alito steps down in 2027ish, it’ll be, “We would need to see someone who isn’t an idealogue.”
    • A month later when Trump nominates someone off of the Heritage Foundation’s list, it’ll be “There’s no way they’ll be confirmed, so we should have a vote.”
    • Then a few hours before the vote, Fetterman will announce he is switching to GOP along with one or two democratic senators with strangely full bank accounts.



  • If I create an SAT analogy from that quote and the other Matrix quote that inspired the vulture capital firm Bending Spoons, I have a great idea for a company.

    We can call it Biting Onions. And instead of using capitalistic principles to enshittify, it will subvert capitalistic principles to block enshittification.

    For example:

    • Buy distressed patent assets or R&D explicitly to dedicate them to the public domain.
    • Counterbid evil investors for tools or platforms to avoid extreme harm from other bidders (e.g., imagine a counterbid for Twitter).
    • Seed-fund unions in underleveraged, corporate wage-theft-common industries, requiring only that the new unions to contribute parts of their dues back to the fund to accelerate more seed-funding of unions.
    • Venture capital tech startups with explicit caps on executive pay and barriers on anti-human/customer/citizen conduct (e.g., a lowest-to-highest-paid-employee metric or prohibiting SaaS/subscription fee business models baked into contractual funding requirements).

    Some of this requires altruism and is likely money-losing (I mean, Twitter was never worth what Musk paid for it, unless you factor in the “value” to an evil sociopath), but like Valve, I think companies that have a set mission and that reach stability would actually have competitive advantages. After all, “suck blood until host dies” is a model that is self-sabotaging in the end.



  • Honestly, I’m not sure.

    I don’t have the intestinal fortitude to brave Elon’s safe space to see, but we know Benny Johnson and other astroturf MAGA repeaters tweeted preemptive false signal boosts about perjury before the confrontation was even over, and bias-reinforcing readers will never watch a 5-minute clip and understand it, or see the same factual reporting we saw. And even with some taking down their “gotcha” posts, they wouldn’t in a million years issue a correction or apology. Newsmax and Fox just will quietly not report on it.

    I’m guessing it was enough to become more permanent evidence of the deep state for a lot of MAGA people.



  • The only answer is: Vote like the polls are wrong.

    If there’s one thing democrats are great at doing, it’s pulling defeat from the jaws of victory. The GOP has outperformed polling pretty consistently, especially in red states that were contested the last few cycles.

    From the article:

    All of this analysis hinges on assuming that the polls are accurate. For three presidential elections in a row, pollsters have badly underestimated Trump’s appeal. And in general, as the Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini has pointed out, the pro-Democratic bias tends to be largest in red states, the very ones that Democrats need in order to take back the Senate. Moreover, not every poll has looked good for Democrats—a recent New York Times and Siena College survey found Collins ahead in Maine, though Jackson leads in most polls.

    The good news for Democrats is that Trump-era midterm polls have been highly accurate on average, much more so than in presidential-election years. That’s because the midterm electorate includes fewer of the low-trust, politically disengaged voters who are so hard for pollsters to reach and disproportionately turn out when Trump is on the ballot.

    I still stand by my concern. Trump has successfully remade the GOP into the Trump party, and even when he’s not on the ballot, he’s increasingly “on the ballot” for MAGA diehards who view it as everyone vs. Trump. I still think his cultists will turn out.



  • NekoKoneko@lemmy.worldtomemes@lemmy.world•He's just a baby!
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    4 days ago

    I am not downvoting you, but I think you’re not taking seriously the responsibility a dog-owner has to other people, and how deluded some dog owners are.

    I have had some serious close calls (like, instinctively pulling my hand away from a dog that went from no signs of aggression to full on hard snapping at me, where I could feel the slick teeth on inside of my palm as I pulled it away) from dogs that were not on leashes and the owners were not even phased. In those situations I absolutely have to go through what I’m willing to do and yes, I’m willing to fight that dog because it clearly is ready to injure me.

    Some dogs are sweethearts but some dogs need to be on leashes and probably also need (humane) muzzles in public, and likewise some people think they are responsible when they are not.






  • I mean, we’ve gone through this, but:

    A home invader has killed one of your children and taken over the living room. He continues to threaten to kill you all and demands that you turn over your whole house. The rational response here is not to “make a deal” and give him the living room and take one-less-child as a cost of doing business. Not only is it morally wrong and logically unjustifiable, but it’s not even rational to leave an unchecked murdering invader now living in your living room.

    It’s just so stupid it’s actually stupefying. It’s actually hard to come up with words to address how stupid Trump is.