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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • Merit a hearing = 0 chance, but it shows the public and DA that this is going to be a fight, and to appeals.

    It concerns me that we haven’t had more of this, he should be running a ferociously aggressive defense, the only reasons he wouldn’t are:

    1. Very confident that he can’t be convicted as a matter of law. I suspect convicting him by jury would be hard, but definitely possible. The federal charges are more concerning, the US As have more influence over juries often.

    2. They know this is bad and are waiting to knock out a few key pieces of evidence in a long-shot hail-Mary because it’s their only chance, and otherwise they want room to make a deal.

    I hope it’s not the latter.

    Personally I suspect they’re confident in a hung jury on the state charges but know they’re going down hard on the federal ones, and are trying to spin it as federal overreach, which won’t work but it’s an argument.

    10 years from.now if the pendulum swings back he can appeal and get out that way.